Use it for contribution decisions
This is useful when you are deciding whether to increase contributions, chase the full employer match, or test a later retirement age. Switch the market scenario to stress-test the plan against real-world drawdowns.
Estimate how your 401(k) balance could grow based on contributions, employer match, and annual return.
What it means
This is useful when you are deciding whether to increase contributions, chase the full employer match, or test a later retirement age. Switch the market scenario to stress-test the plan against real-world drawdowns.
Projections are first computed in nominal (future) dollars and then discounted to today's purchasing power using the inflation rate you supply. The chart shows future dollars to match how balances are actually quoted; the result cards labeled "today's dollars" tell you what those numbers actually buy.
Traditional 401(k) contributions are pre-tax and the entire balance is taxed at withdrawal. Roth 401(k) contributions are after-tax and the entire balance comes out tax-free. The retirement tax rate input only applies to Traditional withdrawals.
FAQ
No. It assumes your contribution percentage produces a realistic dollar contribution for your situation. The 2025 employee deferral limit is $23,500 ($31,000 if you're 50+), so reduce the percentage if it would exceed the limit.
Most people get raises. Because your contribution is a percentage of salary, the dollar amount you contribute grows alongside salary, just like the employer match. Set salary growth to 0% if you want both contributions to stay flat.
The chart and "Projected balance at retirement" show nominal future dollars. Everything labeled "today's dollars" divides that nominal value by (1 + inflation)^years, so $1M in 30 years at 2.5% inflation reads as about $477K in today's purchasing power. Inflation does not affect the underlying compounding; it only affects how we present the result.
Traditional 401(k) withdrawals are taxed as ordinary income. The calculator runs your 4% annual withdrawal through the 2025 federal brackets at single-filer status (the conservative default), then adds your state's 2025 income tax if you picked one. Roth balances skip both. This is a planning estimate, not a substitute for a CPA — actual tax depends on RMDs, Social Security, filing status, and the brackets in force at the time.
Because that's where they actually hurt. A 40% drawdown thirty years out barely moves your retirement number; the same drawdown three years out can rewrite your plans. The historical sequences (2008, dot-com, 1929, COVID) are placed in the final years before your retirement age to surface sequence-of-returns risk, which is the part most people underestimate.
1,000 simulated paths where each year's return is drawn from a normal distribution centered on your expected return with a 16% annualized standard deviation (roughly matching historical US equities). The low / median / high cards show the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentile final balances across all 1,000 paths.
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Estimate a retirement nest egg and income potential based on savings, monthly contributions, and long-term growth.